Are Transthoracic Echocardiographic Parameters Associated With Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence or Stroke?

OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study was to evaluate the associations of transthoracic echocardiographic parameters with recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or stroke. BACKGROUND The Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) study, an evaluation of elderly patients with AF at risk for stroke, provided an opportunity to evaluate the implications of echocardiographic parameters in patients with AF. METHODS Transthoracic echocardiographic measures of mitral regurgitation (MR), left atrial (LA) diameter, and left ventricular (LV) function were evaluated in the AFFIRM rateand rhythm-control patients who had sinus rhythm resume and had these data available. Risk for recurrent AF or stroke was evaluated with respect to transthoracic echocardiographic measures. RESULTS Of 2,474 patients studied, 457 had 2 /4 MR, and 726 had a LA diameter 4.5 cm. The LV ejection fraction was abnormal in 543 patients. The cumulative probabilities of at least one AF recurrence/stroke were 46%/1% after 1 year and 84%/5% by the end of the trial ( 5 years), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that randomization to the rhythm-control arm (hazard ratio [HR] 0.64; p 0.0001) and a qualifying episode of AF being the first known episode (HR 0.70; p 0.0001) were associated with decreased risk. Duration of qualifying AF episode 48 h (HR 1.55; p 0.0001) and LA diameter (p 0.008) were associated with an increased risk of recurrent AF. Recurrent AF was more likely with larger LA diameters (HR 1.21, 1.16, and 1.32 for mild, moderate, and severe enlargement, respectively). No transthoracic echocardiographic measures were associated with risk of stroke. CONCLUSIONS In the AFFIRM study, large transthoracic echocardiographic LA diameters were associated with recurrent AF, but no measured echocardiographic parameter was associated with stroke. (J Am Coll Cardiol 2005;45:2026–33) © 2005 by the American College of ublished by Elsevier Inc. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2005.03.020